Champions League Matchday 5 is often the most defining day of the group stages. There’s a good chance we’ll know most of the qualifiers for the round of 16 after these matches, as well as the group winners. Keeping various permutations in mind, these six games are likely to be the most decisive in this round.
Tuesday, November 22
Monaco vs Tottenham
Monaco lead the group, four points clear of Tottenham and hence, can even afford to lose this game and still control their destiny. Leonardo Jardim is unlikely to tolerate that outcome as Monaco will want to avoid needing anything from their last game away at Bayer Leverkusen.
Anything other than a win and Spurs could exit the competition if Leverkusen win in Moscow. After waiting so long to make here, an early exit would be quite underwhelming for Spurs. Mauricio Pochettino can take solace in the fact that Tottenham haven’t lost away from home in this Champions League campaign, but his men will need to be switched on from the first whistle if they want to stay alive in the competition.
Sporting Lisbon vs Real Madrid
Sporting need to win this match to keep their hopes of progression alive, but even that may not suffice as Real have a cushion of five points. The Portuguese were so close to winning at the Bernabéu on Matchday 1. They will need to rely on the those same levels and then some to get their desired result this time around.
Real have inexplicably dropped away points, so it isn’t a foregone conclusion that they will get the three points in Lisbon. While a draw or loss won’t be terminal for Real’s hopes, it will almost certainly result in a runner-up finish considering Dortmund are hosts to Legia Warsaw.
FC Copenhagen vs Porto
On the balance of play, an argument could be made that Copenhagen have been the best team in the group, yet they find themselves in third place. Copenhagen dominated the reverse fixture and if they could finish the chances they create, they can leapfrog their opponents with their last game against an eliminated Club Brugge. A draw would suffice for Porto as it would keep them second with their last game at home against a Leicester side that is likely to have already qualified for the round of 16.
Sevilla vs Juventus
The group leaders face off in what should be a cracking encounter at the Sánchez Pizjuán. Sevilla have the advantage, leading by two points after Juve conceded a late equalizer at home against Lyon. The Bianconeri will have to take the game to the hosts as they will want to avoid finishing second and drawing a big team in the round of 16 like last season. If Juve win, Sevilla could yet find themselves in trouble with a visit to a Lyon team that could still be in contention come the final matchday.
Wednesday, November 23
Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain
Two teams that have made a habit of finishing second in the group stages now play each other with a golden chance of finally winning a group and getting better odds in the round of 16. A better opportunity might not present itself, so will Arsenal or PSG rise to the challenge or will nerves get the better of them? We’ll find out at the Emirates.
Besiktas vs Benfica
Were it not for the concession of two late equalizers at home, Besiktas would already have a place assured in the last 16. As it happens, they are a point behind Napoli and Benfica and need to get maximum points in their last home fixture against the Portuguese champions. If they lose, the Turkish champions could be knocked out if Napoli beat Dynamo Kiev. Benfica on the other hand, will be alive even if they lose, but a win would guarantee qualification and keep them in the hunt to win the group.